Thanks. I've seen excerpts from this. Parts of it have aged well, other parts (Russia will withdraw within a week) not so much.

I'm in the energy business in Europe and follow related politics closely for that reason, so little was new for me, but it is a very good summary.

Personally I think things will have to get worse before they get better. Weak EU leaders will not be ready to buck the US and NATO until domestically things get worse, and mosty likely not until the conflict between China and the US over Taiwan turns Sauron's eye away from Europe.

In the meantime, right-wing parties will continue to gain power (Hungary, Italy, Austria, France, Czechia, etc.) as demos all over the EU grow. The possibilities for situation(s) to go off the rails grows every time 1000s of people start marching in the streets.

EU leaders who continue to put NATO and Ukraine above their own voters (BoJo, Baerback) have and I expect will continue to fall until the EU reaches a breaking point.

The US / NATO has been pushing for this Ukraine war for decades to try to get Russia into another 80s Afghanistan quagmire. Ironically, it looks like Russia is sticking to its 1860s US-Union attrition style offense, while the US is currently sliding into a 1960s Vietnam style escalation. History doesn't repeat itself, but we know how both of those wars turned out.