I've been traveling to Europe regularly since the late 80s and living here since the mid-90s. The US is in for a rough future in Europe.

It is hard to clearly define how much the US-Europe relationship changed with the Iraq war, followed by Afghanistan, Libya and Syria. Millions took to the streets to protest the Iraq war in Europe. Remember "Freedom Fries?" When Bush was re-elected AFTER Iraq Europeans couldn't give Americans the benefit of the doubt on his first election followed by 9/11.

Those kids and young people who protested the series of US wars of agression that have flooded Europe with refugees are starting to move into positions of power now.

The US trying to bully Europe into rejecting Russian natural gas left a sour taste in a LOT of mouths across the EU.

The EU also now contains a lot former East Bloc countries that don't remember everything being bad about the USSR. Yes, you couldn't leave and that was VERY bad. But post Stalin things were not so bad. Everyone had a job and was at least minimally taken of. The East European experience with US unfettered capitalism has - as per design - lead to countries with a few really wealthy peole, and a whole lot of people barely getting by.

When the US starts bullying the EU after 2030 as climate change really starts ramping up, I think it is a coin toss whether the the EU will continue to side with the US on key points.